Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 6.554880 7.481751 8.504152 9.717455 11.120469 12.694725 14.599002
2025-06-29 5.234165 6.416721 7.825216 9.633291 11.902540 14.669047 18.316777
2025-07-06 4.409232 5.693536 7.311444 9.512446 12.449045 16.260469 21.628085
2025-07-13 3.986839 5.373653 7.203831 9.817432 13.489043 18.515046 26.005059
2025-07-20 3.635871 5.083654 7.072069 10.033342 14.384381 20.625176 30.402764
2025-07-27 3.400845 4.914419 7.069350 10.403216 15.506745 23.147949 35.687689
2025-08-03 3.044022 4.524703 6.698939 10.175146 15.689429 24.261046 38.913064
2025-08-10 2.766387 4.220253 6.416849 10.037606 15.975008 25.534383 42.515468
2025-08-17 2.531872 3.956367 6.166192 9.913697 16.252680 26.801278 46.233501
2025-08-24 2.322588 3.710988 5.918293 9.762012 16.455554 27.945760 49.853671
2025-08-31 2.132296 3.478175 5.667349 9.575180 16.568847 28.931575 53.285446
2025-09-07 2.068153 3.447446 5.745435 9.956076 17.712654 31.858039 60.712864
2025-09-14 1.956196 3.327884 5.665396 10.055530 18.367685 33.983374 66.920515
2025-09-21 1.828026 3.169113 5.502939 9.988285 18.701694 35.534950 72.180221
2025-09-28 1.704291 3.007559 5.320882 9.864771 18.909852 36.855435 77.122955
2025-10-05 1.654427 2.975115 5.369180 10.182270 20.016737 40.095116 86.646295
2025-10-12 1.595494 2.920609 5.370916 10.406918 20.955901 43.090544 96.047324
2025-10-19 1.560499 2.907973 5.449906 10.791758 22.266667 47.023299 108.185490
2025-10-26 1.454509 2.750402 5.235476 10.554457 22.220504 47.977155 113.335810
2025-11-02 1.368001 2.624485 5.073437 10.411359 22.364046 49.369002 119.759795
2025-11-09 1.289961 2.509648 4.924619 10.282447 22.524620 50.814690 126.526409
2025-11-16 1.215076 2.395788 4.769089 10.124646 22.601939 52.070218 132.977932
2025-11-23 1.142372 2.281299 4.603740 9.930291 22.573494 53.065470 138.876027